Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 17.223929 19.772418 22.750184 26.533732 31.282903 37.144786 45.088213
2025-03-02 13.963884 17.011194 20.904905 26.393255 34.192509 45.335377 63.428686
2025-03-09 12.276994 15.546545 19.981380 26.705353 37.187048 54.026242 86.100947
2025-03-16 10.745100 13.962311 18.506484 25.758209 37.856621 59.145901 105.529661
2025-03-23 9.807874 13.040743 17.777030 25.703200 39.819233 67.052963 135.760982
2025-03-30 8.806545 11.891770 16.525496 24.540595 39.499015 70.414953 158.177173
2025-04-06 7.929931 10.832926 15.275641 23.157966 38.419639 71.776697 176.604671
2025-04-13 7.253107 10.013299 14.310688 22.116825 37.765565 73.882149 199.905668
2025-04-20 7.359962 10.408178 15.345829 24.826779 45.510098 100.387117 358.495458
2025-04-27 7.131333 10.242005 15.412407 25.714845 49.547441 119.646184 545.719999
2025-05-04 6.635939 9.598373 14.581377 24.684373 48.722588 123.166210 645.103520
2025-05-11 6.450534 9.453572 14.618226 25.438825 52.622081 146.004348 1052.333910
2025-05-18 6.138558 9.089258 14.253416 25.361048 54.540136 164.189653 1652.230285
2025-05-25 5.846199 8.738166 13.881721 25.219967 56.304429 184.110830 2792.633536
2025-06-01 5.633974 8.508988 13.714878 25.512959 59.496046 215.423115 6320.996057
2025-06-08 5.310291 8.060556 13.084124 24.625102 58.700967 224.305036 10407.478592
2025-06-15 5.104473 7.809156 12.817344 24.573513 60.695567 253.996955 35581.386433
2025-06-22 4.809193 7.379108 12.162273 23.482442 58.802925 255.228380 69865.036167
2025-06-29 4.514157 6.935577 11.452796 22.183093 55.897242 246.742973 100108.832949
2025-07-06 4.270672 6.575418 10.890971 21.203336 53.971751 244.929108 231465.096613
2025-07-13 4.377637 6.862612 11.665726 23.751144 66.229078 394.325449 NaN
2025-07-20 4.317435 6.833414 11.780085 24.584434 72.264749 514.238376 NaN
2025-07-27 4.113528 6.521241 11.268773 23.617447 70.066439 515.378043 NaN